Mexico vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2010 |
NLD
2 - 1
MEX
62%
22%
16%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
ENG
3 - 1
MEX
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHL
59%
23%
18%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
MEX
1 - 0
AGO
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
MEX
1 - 0
SEN
75%
17%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
TUN
1 - 2
GMB
71%
20%
9%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
AGO
1 - 1
GMB
58%
24%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 1
GMB
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
GMB
3 - 0
LBR
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
DZA
1 - 0
GMB
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |