Mexico vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
1 - 0
SLV
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
GTM
0 - 3
MEX
11%
18%
71%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
TTO
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
4 - 0
NGA
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 2
CAN
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CAN
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
HTI
1 - 4
CAN
23%
24%
54%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
CAN
4 - 1
MTQ
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CAN
3 - 0
HTI
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |