Mauritania vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 0
MRT
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
GNQ
1 - 0
MRT
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MRT
1 - 2
ZMB
22%
26%
53%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
MRT
2 - 0
YEM
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
MRT
1 - 0
LBR
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 0
MRT
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ZMB
0 - 2
TUN
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 0
GNQ
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
0 - 2
DZA
45%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |