Morocco vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
GEO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
PRY
0 - 0
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CHL
51%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
JAM
0 - 3
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 2
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 1
HRV
15%
22%
64%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AUT
1 - 3
HRV
24%
23%
53%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
HRV
2 - 1
DNK
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
FRA
0 - 1
HRV
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
DNK
0 - 1
HRV
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |