Morocco vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MRT
0 - 0
MAR
10%
23%
68%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MLI
0 - 2
MAR
20%
26%
53%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 0
CMR
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
ZMB
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
UGA
2 - 5
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
BDI
2 - 2
CAF
73%
17%
11%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BDI
3 - 1
MRT
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
MRT
1 - 1
BDI
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TZA
0 - 1
BDI
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BDI
0 - 3
MAR
14%
25%
60%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | -1 |