Morocco vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
SAU
1 - 0
MAR
46%
29%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
GIN
68%
21%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
5 - 1
KEN
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 0
BFA
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
GIN
1 - 1
MAR
29%
31%
41%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2005 |
LBY
1 - 1
MWI
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
TUN
7 - 0
MWI
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MWI
2 - 1
ZWE
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
MWI
2 - 2
TUN
21%
28%
51%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
KEN
3 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |