Malta vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.4%
78.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
19.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MKD
2 - 1
MLT
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MLT
0 - 1
IRL
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MLT
2 - 2
GRC
17%
25%
57%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
MLT
2 - 1
ISR
6%
14%
79%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
MLT
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 2
ENG
34%
25%
41%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 0
ITA
19%
23%
58%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 3
ITA
7%
18%
75%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
HUN
0 - 2
ITA
17%
23%
61%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
ENG
36%
25%
39%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |