Malasia vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malasia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MYS
1 - 0
TKM
38%
25%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
THA
3 - 0
MYS
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MYS
1 - 0
THA
11%
17%
72%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
MYS
4 - 1
SGP
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
VNM
3 - 0
MYS
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HKG
1 - 1
SGP
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HKG
0 - 0
MMR
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
HKG
2 - 0
MMR
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
CHN
1 - 0
HKG
87%
11%
3%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
KOR
3 - 0
HKG
89%
9%
2%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |