WC Qual. Europe Group J Round 3

Macedonia vs Belgium analysis

Macedonia Belgium
77 ELO 92
-3.6% Tilt -9.5%
825º General ELO ranking 59º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.2%
Macedonia
19.5%
Draw
66.3%
Belgium

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
Macedonia
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.4%
Win probability
Belgium
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macedonia
+8%
-6%
Belgium

ELO progression

Macedonia
Belgium
Liechtenstein
Kazakhstan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macedonia
Macedonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2025
MKD
Macedonia
1 - 1
Wales
WAL
35%
27%
38%
77 86 9 0
22 Mar. 2025
LIE
Liechtenstein
0 - 3
Macedonia
MKD
7%
17%
76%
77 29 48 0
17 Nov. 2024
MKD
Macedonia
1 - 0
Faroe Islands
FRO
78%
15%
7%
77 52 25 0
14 Nov. 2024
MKD
Macedonia
1 - 0
Latvia
LVA
77%
16%
7%
77 57 20 0
13 Oct. 2024
ARM
Armenia
0 - 2
Macedonia
MKD
36%
25%
40%
76 68 8 +1

Matches

Belgium
Belgium
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2025
BEL
Belgium
3 - 0
Ukraine
UKR
65%
19%
16%
92 88 4 0
20 Mar. 2025
UKR
Ukraine
3 - 1
Belgium
BEL
16%
20%
64%
92 87 5 0
17 Nov. 2024
ISR
Israel
1 - 0
Belgium
BEL
10%
16%
74%
92 80 12 0
14 Nov. 2024
BEL
Belgium
0 - 1
Italy
ITA
57%
22%
22%
92 92 0 0
14 Oct. 2024
BEL
Belgium
1 - 2
France
FRA
49%
24%
28%
93 94 1 -1