Macedonia vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MKD
1 - 1
FIN
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KSA
1 - 0
MKD
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
MKD
0 - 1
BGR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
GEO
2 - 0
MKD
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MKD
4 - 0
GIB
82%
13%
6%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MDA
1 - 2
AZE
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AZE
3 - 0
KAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
SVK
1 - 2
AZE
80%
15%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
AZE
2 - 0
BLR
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
AZE
0 - 1
SVK
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |