Macau vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MNG
4 - 1
MAC
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
MMR
1 - 0
MAC
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 4
KGZ
14%
22%
64%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
IND
4 - 1
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
LAO
1 - 3
MAC
64%
17%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GUM
4 - 0
MNP
87%
10%
3%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TWN
2 - 0
GUM
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
GUM
0 - 2
PRK
8%
18%
74%
|
31 | 76 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
3 - 2
GUM
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
OMA
1 - 0
GUM
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 78 | 46 | 0 |