Luxembourg vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
81.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
13%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
IRL
0 - 1
LUX
78%
16%
6%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
QAT
1 - 0
LUX
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 0
AZE
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CYP
2 - 1
LUX
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 3
AUT
12%
19%
70%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SRB
2 - 2
PRT
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
PRT
1 - 0
AZE
92%
7%
2%
|
92 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
HRV
2 - 3
PRT
31%
24%
45%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PRT
0 - 1
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PRT
7 - 0
AND
92%
6%
1%
|
92 | 36 | 56 | 0 |