Luxembourg vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
LUX
80%
15%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
LUX
1 - 3
PRT
6%
13%
81%
|
54 | 92 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
IRL
0 - 1
LUX
78%
16%
6%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
QAT
1 - 0
LUX
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 0
AZE
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
NLD
2 - 2
SCT
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SCT
4 - 0
FRO
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ISR
1 - 1
SCT
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
SCT
2 - 2
AUT
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ISR
1 - 0
SCT
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |