Lithuania vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
LKA
0 - 2
LTU
11%
20%
70%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
POL
4 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
LTU
0 - 1
IRN
21%
27%
53%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
LTU
1 - 1
LVA
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
LTU
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
SRB
0 - 2
BRA
8%
16%
76%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
SRB
1 - 2
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 1
SRB
52%
24%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SRB
5 - 1
BOL
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
SRB
0 - 1
CHL
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |