Lithuania vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.5%
73.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
19.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
18%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LTU
0 - 3
UKR
13%
23%
64%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
SRB
4 - 1
LTU
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
LTU
1 - 1
LUX
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
AZE
0 - 0
LTU
41%
27%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
LUX
2 - 1
LTU
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SRB
2 - 4
PRT
26%
26%
49%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
PRT
1 - 0
NLD
37%
24%
39%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
PRT
3 - 1
CHE
56%
23%
22%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
PRT
1 - 1
SRB
75%
17%
9%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
PRT
0 - 0
UKR
68%
19%
13%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |