Lithuania vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 0
LTU
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 0
LTU
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 28 | 53 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 3
ESP
7%
17%
76%
|
81 | 99 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
LTU
2 - 0
POL
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
HUN
2 - 0
LTU
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
RUS
3 - 1
ARM
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ARM
0 - 0
RUS
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 2
GEO
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ARM
4 - 0
AND
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ARM
3 - 1
SVK
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |