Kenya vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
DZA
2 - 0
KEN
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 1
COD
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 0
MDG
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GHA
1 - 0
KEN
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
KEN
3 - 0
ETH
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 0
TZA
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
TZA
1 - 1
ZWE
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
TZA
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TZA
3 - 0
UGA
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LSO
1 - 0
TZA
18%
23%
58%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |