Japan vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
KGZ
0 - 2
JPN
13%
23%
65%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 3
JPN
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
JPN
6 - 0
MNG
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MMR
0 - 2
JPN
10%
20%
71%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
JPN
2 - 0
PRY
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
2 - 0
TTO
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
4 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
VEN
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
VEN
0 - 2
ARG
19%
23%
59%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 3
VEN
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |