Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
6 - 0
HKG
92%
7%
1%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 3
TUN
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
4 - 1
GHA
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 1
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
KOR
3 - 0
HKG
89%
9%
2%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CHN
0 - 3
KOR
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
4 - 1
EGY
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 2
PRY
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 0
CHL
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |