Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
JPN
0 - 2
MEX
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
JPN
1 - 0
PAN
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
JPN
1 - 0
CIV
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
JPN
0 - 0
CMR
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 0
JPN
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
QAT
1 - 2
KOR
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MEX
3 - 2
KOR
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 0
JPN
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 0
CHN
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
KOR
2 - 0
HKG
82%
13%
4%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |