Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1978 |
KOR
3 - 1
JPN
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1978 |
JPN
4 - 0
BHR
73%
14%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
KWT
2 - 0
JPN
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
JPN
0 - 3
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1978 |
JPN
1 - 4
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1978 |
KOR
0 - 0
PRK
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1978 |
THA
1 - 3
KOR
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1978 |
KOR
1 - 0
MAS
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
KOR
1 - 0
CHN
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1978 |
KOR
3 - 1
JPN
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |