Copa America Grupo C. Jor. 1

Japan vs Chile analysis

Japan Chile
87 ELO 89
9.1% Tilt -2.8%
47º General ELO ranking 123º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.9%
Japan
24.4%
Draw
33.7%
Chile

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
Japan
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.7%
Win probability
Chile
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Japan
+14%
-10%
Chile

ELO progression

Japan
Chile
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Japan
Japan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2019
JPN
Japan
2 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
83%
12%
5%
87 71 16 0
05 Jun. 2019
JPN
Japan
0 - 0
Trinidad and Tobago
TTO
82%
12%
6%
87 70 17 0
26 Mar. 2019
JPN
Japan
1 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
75%
16%
9%
87 75 12 0
22 Mar. 2019
JPN
Japan
0 - 1
Colombia
COL
45%
26%
29%
87 91 4 0
01 Feb. 2019
JPN
Japan
1 - 3
Catar
QAT
66%
19%
15%
88 83 5 -1

Matches

Chile
Chile
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2019
ECN
XV de Novembro
0 - 3
Chile
CHL
8%
19%
73%
89 35 54 0
07 Jun. 2019
CHL
Chile
2 - 1
Haiti
HTI
87%
9%
3%
89 66 23 0
01 Jun. 2019
COL
Colo-Colo
2 - 2
Chile
CHL
19%
26%
55%
89 78 11 0
27 Mar. 2019
USA
United States
1 - 1
Chile
CHL
48%
25%
27%
89 89 0 0
23 Mar. 2019
MEX
Mexico
3 - 1
Chile
CHL
44%
27%
29%
89 89 0 0
X