Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
0 - 0
VEN
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
YEM
2 - 3
JPN
3%
12%
85%
|
92 | 54 | 38 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
HKG
0 - 4
JPN
4%
12%
85%
|
92 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ZAF
0 - 0
JPN
20%
26%
55%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
JPN
5 - 0
TGO
78%
16%
6%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VNM
1 - 2
CHN
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
CHN
0 - 0
SYR
63%
20%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
CHN
2 - 2
JOR
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CHN
1 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LBN
0 - 2
CHN
10%
20%
71%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |