Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1992 |
JPN
1 - 0
IRN
41%
30%
30%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
JPN
1 - 1
PRK
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1992 |
JPN
0 - 0
UAE
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
JPN
2 - 2
KOR
19%
23%
57%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
JPN
4 - 1
PRK
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1992 |
CHN
2 - 1
QAT
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1992 |
CHN
0 - 0
THA
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1992 |
KSA
1 - 1
CHN
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1992 |
CHN
0 - 0
PRK
68%
18%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
CHN
0 - 2
KOR
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |