Japan vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 0
LVA
78%
16%
6%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
OMN
1 - 2
JPN
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
JPN
0 - 4
BRA
13%
21%
67%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
FRA
0 - 1
JPN
60%
24%
17%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
JPN
1 - 0
IRQ
69%
20%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
USA
0 - 0
CAN
75%
16%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
HND
8 - 1
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 0
CUB
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
PAN
2 - 0
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
PAN
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |