Italy vs North Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
3 - 1
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ITA
4 - 0
MLT
86%
11%
3%
|
92 | 50 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
UKR
62%
21%
17%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 1
ITA
10%
20%
70%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NLD
2 - 3
ITA
58%
21%
21%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
North Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
3 - 1
ARM
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UKR
2 - 0
MKD
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
MLT
0 - 2
MKD
15%
21%
64%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 1
ITA
10%
20%
70%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
ENG
7 - 0
MKD
86%
11%
3%
|
74 | 94 | 20 | 0 |