Italy vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.5%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.4%
2.6%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 0
ITA
31%
26%
44%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
BGR
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
ENG
36%
25%
39%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 2
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BGR
1 - 0
LTU
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
LTU
1 - 4
NIR
16%
26%
58%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
LTU
94%
5%
1%
|
56 | 95 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
LVA
3 - 1
LTU
39%
25%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
LTU
0 - 1
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |