Italy vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 2
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
WLS
71%
19%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
ITA
3 - 0
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
ENG
2 - 1
DNK
59%
22%
19%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
UKR
0 - 4
ENG
15%
21%
64%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
ENG
2 - 0
DEU
38%
23%
39%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
CZE
0 - 1
ENG
18%
21%
60%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
ENG
0 - 0
SCT
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |