Italy vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 0
GHA
90%
9%
1%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
ITA
0 - 0
UKR
76%
18%
6%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 1
ITA
24%
29%
48%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
ITA
4 - 1
DEU
51%
26%
23%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 1
CIV
74%
18%
7%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2006 |
USA
0 - 3
CZE
30%
25%
45%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2006 |
USA
1 - 0
LVA
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
USA
2 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
8%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
USA
0 - 1
MAR
68%
21%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
USA
1 - 1
JAM
75%
18%
8%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |