Italy vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ENG
1 - 1
ITA
54%
24%
21%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SWE
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
SWE
1 - 0
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 1
ITA
11%
21%
68%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2018 |
SAU
2 - 0
GRC
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
SAU
2 - 0
DZA
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
BEL
4 - 0
SAU
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
UKR
1 - 1
SAU
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
IRQ
4 - 1
SAU
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |