Israel vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ISR
2 - 1
FIN
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ISR
1 - 2
BLR
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
ISR
3 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
85 | 37 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
LUX
0 - 6
ISR
8%
17%
76%
|
85 | 38 | 47 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ISR
0 - 4
RUS
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
PRT
2 - 3
ECU
67%
19%
13%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 2
PRT
10%
21%
70%
|
93 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
PRT
1 - 1
NIR
85%
11%
4%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
RUS
1 - 0
PRT
34%
27%
40%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
PRT
3 - 0
AZE
88%
9%
3%
|
94 | 65 | 29 | 0 |