Israel vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
22.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
ROU
0 - 0
ISR
65%
22%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
ISR
3 - 0
IRL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1983 |
ISR
1 - 1
ROU
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1983 |
ISR
2 - 2
URY
47%
29%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
NIR
1 - 0
ISR
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1984 |
NOR
1 - 0
WLS
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1984 |
WLS
1 - 1
NIR
60%
25%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
WLS
1 - 0
ENG
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1984 |
SCT
2 - 1
WLS
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1983 |
WLS
1 - 1
YUG
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |