Israel vs Slovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
ISR
2 - 0
CYP
70%
18%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
ISR
1 - 2
FRA
19%
23%
58%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
CYP
1 - 1
ISR
34%
24%
42%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
ISR
0 - 0
MDA
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
ISR
2 - 0
ARM
85%
10%
4%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
MLT
1 - 3
SVN
15%
22%
63%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
SVN
4 - 1
CYP
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
SVN
1 - 5
CHE
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2003 |
RUS
1 - 0
SVN
21%
25%
54%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
FRA
5 - 0
SVN
94%
5%
1%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | -1 |