Israel vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
MKD
2 - 3
ISR
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MLT
0 - 2
ISR
15%
22%
63%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 5
ISR
12%
23%
64%
|
86 | 38 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
LTU
2 - 4
ISR
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
DNK
3 - 1
ISR
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
GRC
2 - 0
ARM
87%
10%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ARM
2 - 2
UKR
27%
27%
47%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2002 |
AND
0 - 2
ARM
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ARM
1 - 4
NOR
11%
20%
69%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
UKR
3 - 0
ARM
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |