Faroe Islands vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
63%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faroe Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
NIR
4 - 0
FRO
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
FRO
2 - 0
EST
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
FRO
0 - 2
SVN
17%
27%
56%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
SCT
3 - 0
FRO
78%
16%
7%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 1
NIR
23%
27%
51%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
ESP
23%
24%
53%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 2
IRL
58%
24%
18%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 0
EST
76%
17%
7%
|
96 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
UKR
0 - 2
ITA
30%
28%
42%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
SVN
0 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
51%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |