Cook Islands vs Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
COK
34%
24%
41%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 1
COK
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
COK
1 - 2
VUT
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
COK
0 - 1
PYF
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
COK
4 - 1
TUV
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
TUV
3 - 0
WSM
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
FJI
5 - 1
WSM
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
FJI
3 - 0
WSM
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
WSM
0 - 3
SLB
15%
21%
65%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
WSM
2 - 1
TON
80%
13%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |