Northern Ireland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1989 |
NIR
0 - 1
CHL
47%
29%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
MLT
0 - 2
NIR
20%
27%
53%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1989 |
NIR
0 - 2
ESP
27%
29%
44%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1988 |
ESP
4 - 0
NIR
73%
19%
8%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
HUN
1 - 0
NIR
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
IRL
2 - 0
HUN
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
ITA
4 - 0
HUN
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
HUN
1 - 1
MLT
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1989 |
HUN
3 - 0
CHE
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
HUN
0 - 0
IRL
72%
19%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |