Iraq vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
QAT
3 - 0
IRQ
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
BHR
0 - 0
IRQ
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
IRQ
1 - 1
OMN
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
IRQ
0 - 3
KOR
20%
25%
56%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
IRQ
1 - 1
SYR
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
MDA
2 - 3
UGA
15%
24%
60%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 1
ISL
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
TZA
0 - 2
UGA
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 1
KEN
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |