Iran vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
KHM
0 - 10
IRN
11%
24%
65%
|
88 | 30 | 58 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
IRN
3 - 0
BHR
81%
14%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
IRN
3 - 1
HKG
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
IRN
3 - 0
SYR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
BIH
0 - 2
IRN
39%
27%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
HKG
0 - 1
IRQ
11%
20%
69%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
IRQ
4 - 1
KHM
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
IRQ
6 - 2
NPL
83%
14%
3%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
IRQ
0 - 0
TJK
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
UZB
0 - 1
IRQ
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |