Iran vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
WLS
0 - 2
IRN
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
ENG
6 - 2
IRN
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 0
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 1
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
URY
0 - 1
IRN
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 0
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
WLS
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
USA
0 - 0
SAU
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
JPN
2 - 0
USA
42%
25%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SLV
1 - 1
USA
5%
18%
77%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |