Iran vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
IRN
0 - 1
UZB
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
IRN
6 - 1
TJK
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
IRN
1 - 0
KOR
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
IRN
17%
27%
57%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
JOR
0 - 0
IRN
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
SAU
0 - 0
ARG
11%
21%
68%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
5 - 0
SAU
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AUS
4 - 2
SAU
64%
23%
13%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 0
OMN
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SAU
3 - 0
THA
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |