England vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
ENG
6 - 2
IRN
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 3
DEU
38%
23%
39%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
ENG
36%
25%
39%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 4
HUN
80%
14%
7%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
23%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
WLS
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
USA
0 - 0
SAU
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
JPN
2 - 0
USA
42%
25%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SLV
1 - 1
USA
5%
18%
77%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
USA
5 - 0
GRD
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |