WC Qual. Europe Grupo I. Jor. 1

Hungary vs Poland analysis

Hungary Poland
83 ELO 88
0.6% Tilt 4.4%
132º General ELO ranking 106º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.7%
Hungary
24.2%
Draw
50.1%
Poland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
Hungary
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
50.1%
Win probability
Poland
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hungary
+20%
-2%
Poland

ELO progression

Hungary
Poland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hungary
Hungary
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2020
HUN
Hungary
2 - 0
Turkey
TUR
30%
25%
46%
83 87 4 0
15 Nov. 2020
HUN
Hungary
1 - 1
Serbia
SRB
46%
26%
28%
83 84 1 0
12 Nov. 2020
HUN
Hungary
2 - 1
Iceland
ISL
53%
23%
24%
82 80 2 +1
14 Oct. 2020
RUS
Russia
0 - 0
Hungary
HUN
67%
19%
14%
83 88 5 -1
11 Oct. 2020
SRB
Serbia
0 - 1
Hungary
HUN
59%
21%
20%
82 85 3 +1

Matches

Poland
Poland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2020
POL
Poland
1 - 2
Netherlands
NLD
24%
23%
54%
88 92 4 0
15 Nov. 2020
ITA
Italy
2 - 0
Poland
POL
59%
22%
19%
88 91 3 0
11 Nov. 2020
POL
Poland
2 - 0
Ukraine
UKR
51%
24%
26%
88 88 0 0
14 Oct. 2020
POL
Poland
3 - 0
Bosnia
BIH
65%
20%
15%
88 84 4 0
11 Oct. 2020
POL
Poland
0 - 0
Italy
ITA
33%
26%
41%
88 92 4 0
X