Hungary vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.3%
Win probability
3.86
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.6%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.3%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.4%
2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
YUG
2 - 4
HUN
34%
21%
45%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
NLD
0 - 3
HUN
14%
17%
69%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
HUN
2 - 0
DDR
92%
6%
3%
|
92 | 32 | 60 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1961 |
EGY
0 - 2
HUN
19%
19%
62%
|
92 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
87%
8%
5%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1961 |
ESP
1 - 1
WLS
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
WLS
1 - 2
ESP
31%
23%
46%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1961 |
NIR
1 - 5
WLS
54%
21%
26%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1960 |
ENG
5 - 1
WLS
88%
8%
4%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1960 |
WLS
2 - 0
SCT
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |