Netherlands vs Catar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
NLD
1 - 1
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
SEN
0 - 2
NLD
8%
16%
76%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NLD
1 - 0
BEL
44%
23%
33%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
NLD
19%
23%
58%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
NLD
3 - 2
WLS
82%
12%
6%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 3
SEN
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
QAT
0 - 2
ECU
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
PAN
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 0
HND
60%
21%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |