Netherlands vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
14%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1925 |
BEL
0 - 1
NED
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1924 |
NED
2 - 1
RSA
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1924 |
NED
3 - 1
USA
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1924 |
SWE
3 - 1
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1924 |
URU
2 - 1
NED
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1924 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1924 |
GER
0 - 1
ITA
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1924 |
HUN
4 - 1
GER
71%
15%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1924 |
GER
1 - 4
SWE
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1924 |
NOR
0 - 2
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |