Guinea vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
AGO
0 - 0
GIN
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
GIN
1 - 2
CIV
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BFA
4 - 2
GIN
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CMR
3 - 1
GIN
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
GAB
3 - 3
GIN
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
MWI
0 - 1
BFA
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MWI
2 - 0
RWA
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
MWI
1 - 0
LSO
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CIV
5 - 0
MWI
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
UGA
2 - 1
MWI
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |