CAF Grupo B. Jor. 1

Guinea vs Madagascar analysis

Guinea Madagascar
72 ELO 57
4.4% Tilt 1.1%
808º General ELO ranking 1664º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
71.2%
Guinea
17.8%
Draw
11%
Madagascar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
Guinea
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11%
Win probability
Madagascar
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guinea
+2%
+28%
Madagascar

ELO progression

Guinea
Madagascar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guinea
Guinea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2019
EGY
Egypt
3 - 1
Guinea
GIN
71%
18%
11%
73 84 11 0
11 Jun. 2019
GIN
Guinea
0 - 1
Benin
BEN
67%
20%
14%
73 62 11 0
08 Jun. 2019
AGO
Angola
2 - 0
Guinea
GIN
29%
26%
45%
74 68 6 -1
24 Mar. 2019
CAF
Central African Republic
0 - 0
Guinea
GIN
2%
6%
93%
74 26 48 0
18 Nov. 2018
GIN
Guinea
1 - 1
Ivory Coast
CIV
33%
27%
41%
74 84 10 0

Matches

Madagascar
Madagascar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2019
MRT
Mauritania
3 - 1
Madagascar
MDG
43%
26%
31%
58 59 1 0
07 Jun. 2019
KEN
Kenya
1 - 0
Madagascar
MDG
38%
28%
34%
59 59 0 -1
02 Jun. 2019
LUX
Luxembourg
3 - 3
Madagascar
MDG
32%
25%
43%
59 52 7 0
23 Mar. 2019
SEN
Senegal
2 - 0
Madagascar
MDG
76%
17%
7%
59 82 23 0
18 Nov. 2018
MDG
Madagascar
1 - 3
Sudan
SDN
45%
26%
29%
60 60 0 -1
X