Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
NGA
0 - 1
GNB
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GNB
0 - 0
GMB
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
MRT
1 - 0
GNB
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
GNB
0 - 1
MRT
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
GNB
1 - 0
GMB
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
NGA
0 - 1
GNB
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
PRT
4 - 0
NGA
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
NGA
43%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
DZA
2 - 1
NGA
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NGA
2 - 0
GHA
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |