Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
GNB
0 - 1
EGY
8%
17%
75%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
SDN
0 - 0
GNB
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
GNB
0 - 0
SDN
27%
24%
50%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
GIN
0 - 0
GNB
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GNB
0 - 3
MAR
6%
20%
74%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NGA
3 - 1
SDN
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NGA
1 - 1
CPV
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LBR
0 - 2
NGA
12%
23%
65%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAF
0 - 2
NGA
6%
17%
78%
|
84 | 35 | 49 | 0 |